World Bank President Issues Warning On U.S. Economy
I have a feeling the World Bank won’t be too surprised if the United States falls into a “double-dip” recession. From the Associated Press’ Alex Kennedy this morning:
Stubbornly high joblessness threatens to trigger loan defaults and drag on consumption next year, hobbling a U.S. economy struggling to rebound from recession, World Bank President Robert Zoellick said Wednesday.
Zoellick warned that the U.S. unemployment rate, which jumped to a 26-year high of 10.2 percent in October, will likely remain elevated in 2010.
“You’re going to have problems with delinquencies of credit card loans, consumer loans, people won’t be able to pay their mortgages,” Zoellick told reporters in Singapore. “Some banks are going to continue to be troubled by bad loans.”
Government stimulus spending will likely fuel economic growth through the middle of next year, Zoellick said. After that, consumer spending and business investment must take the baton to boost expansion, he said.
“If you’ve got large scale unemployment, if you’ve got consumers rebuilding savings and deleveraging, I don’t think the consumer is going to play that role,” he said. “What’s the other source of demand?”
Sources:
“World Bank warns unemployment threatens US economy”
Alex Kennedy
Associated Press, November 11, 2009
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