Hedge Funds Predict U.S. Recession In 2008

Hedge fund managers are predicting that the U.S. economy will enter into a recession next year, according to a Reuters article released last night. Rothstein Kass, an auditing and tax services provider, sponsored the survey which consisted of 239 hedge fund principals with a median $492 million in assets under management.

More than 61% of respondents said they believed a recession was “very likely” in 2008. 87% percent predicted that market volatility would continue or increase for the remainder of 2007. Not surprisingly, only 17% of those surveyed said an economic downturn would be bad news for their operations, with 66% suggesting that a recession would actually bring about investment opportunities.

The Wall Street Journal reported back on September 11 that hedge funds lost 1.3% last month, which was their worst performance since May 2006 and the first losing month this year, according to Hedge Fund Research Inc., a Chicago hedge-fund research firm. Funds of funds, or funds that invest in other hedge funds, did even worse, losing 2.1% in August.

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